F.J. Reitz
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #35
Brown County Semi-State Rank #7
Pike Central Regional Rank #1
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 22.1%
Advance to Semi-State 99.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Central Kentucky Run for the Gold Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite Mater Dei Invite Crawford County Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/1 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 515 748 601 626 648 579 597 512 487 630
Team Adjusted Rating 610 487 558 648 579 597 512 487 630
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Central Kentucky Run for the Gold Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite Mater Dei Invite Crawford County Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
28  Jackson Nolan 10 15:57 16:16 16:17 16:04 16:16 16:03 16:18 16:31 16:19 16:11 15:50
72  Sawyer Mossberger 10 16:23 17:44 16:59 16:35 16:34 16:48 16:41 16:48 16:31 16:14 17:20
339  Brice Johnson 10 17:23 17:06 19:29 17:54 17:35 17:25 17:16 17:14 17:14 17:44
679  John Hackney 12 18:01 18:19 18:42 18:07 18:28 18:16 18:21 17:55 17:51 18:02
898  Caleb Merritt 10 18:21 18:08 18:09 17:41 18:02 19:02 18:24 18:26 18:11 18:17 18:55
1,252  Sam Heathcotte 10 18:48 18:42 19:07 18:49 18:52 19:00 18:45 18:41 18:54 19:09 18:41
1,371  Josiah Spanner 9 18:57 19:37 19:45 19:40 19:19 19:09 19:22 19:29 18:49
Colton Rockers 11 19:36 19:32 20:14 19:16




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 22.1% 19.5 476 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.2 4.7 4.4 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.2
Semi-State 99.8% 8.2 261 0.0 0.2 8.6 13.3 19.1 18.4 15.0 10.9 7.4 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.2 78 31.6 33.2 21.8 10.3 2.8 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.6 56 46.6 44.3 8.9 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 100.0% 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.8 2.9 100.0% 100.0%
Sawyer Mossberger 89.5% 67.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 86.5% 89.4%
Brice Johnson 22.1% 154.8 0.0% 0.0%
John Hackney 22.1% 190.9 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Merritt 22.1% 201.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Heathcotte 22.1% 206.0 0.0% 0.0%
Josiah Spanner 22.1% 206.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 100% 7.9 1.0 2.5 4.1 6.0 7.3 9.2 10.6 10.6 10.7 10.6 9.0 5.7 4.5 3.1 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Sawyer Mossberger 100% 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.8 2.5 3.7 4.9 6.7 7.5 7.4 7.7 8.5 7.6 7.7 7.0 6.0 5.1 3.9 3.3 100.0% 100.0%
Brice Johnson 100.0% 63.4 94.1% 99.7%
John Hackney 99.8% 114.6 0.0% 46.2%
Caleb Merritt 99.8% 138.4 0.0% 4.9%
Sam Heathcotte 99.8% 159.8 0.0% 0.0%
Josiah Spanner 99.8% 164.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 100% 1.0 99.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sawyer Mossberger 100% 1.6 0.2 79.1 16.2 3.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Brice Johnson 100% 11.5 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.0 3.6 5.2 7.7 10.4 12.9 14.1 11.1 9.1 6.0 4.7 3.2 2.3 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 100.0%
John Hackney 100% 29.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.0 4.1 100.0%
Caleb Merritt 100% 41.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.5%
Sam Heathcotte 100% 57.0 70.6%
Josiah Spanner 100% 61.5 45.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 1.0 99.6 0.4
Sawyer Mossberger 1.5 0.3 91.7 7.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
Brice Johnson 8.6 0.2 2.1 3.7 6.5 10.1 14.6 20.2 15.6 10.8 6.8 4.3 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
John Hackney 18.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.3 6.1 8.0 12.0 13.6 12.8 10.4 8.5 6.3 4.4 3.1 2.0
Caleb Merritt 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 3.6 4.4 6.3 8.4 9.1 10.5 10.3
Sam Heathcotte 33.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7
Josiah Spanner 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1